Surmisal for Dummies

Surmisal is a word that may sound a little fancy, but it's actually quite simple to understand. Think of it as a tool we use to make educated guesses or assumptions about something when we don't have all the facts or evidence to be absolutely sure. It's like when you're at home and you hear a loud noise outside, and you can't see what caused it, but you might surmise that it was just a gust of wind knocking over a trash can.

Now, let's break down that definition a bit more. When we say "educated guesses," we mean that we're using our knowledge and experience to make a prediction or guess about something. It's not just a random guess; it's based on what we already know. You can think of it as a detective trying to solve a mystery. They gather clues and evidence, and from that, they make an educated guess about who the culprit might be.

When we say "assumptions," we mean that we're making a guess or prediction without having all the information or evidence to be absolutely certain. It's like when you see a friend with a sad face, and you might assume that something happened to them. You don't know for sure unless they tell you, but based on their expression, you can make an assumption that something is wrong.

So, to sum it all up, a surmisal is a way for us to make educated guesses or assumptions based on the information and knowledge we have. It's like putting together puzzle pieces to form a picture, even if we are missing a few pieces. It's a tool we can use to help us understand and make sense of the world around us when we don't have all the facts or evidence.